Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.171972 1.324928 1.492358 1.689565 1.915913 2.168068 2.470932
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.948320 1.156865 1.405023 1.723536 2.123574 2.612056 3.257824
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.804687 1.031285 1.316022 1.702860 2.218965 2.889752 3.837262
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.716775 0.956350 1.271147 1.719446 2.348551 3.210488 4.498993
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.636173 0.877899 1.207676 1.696438 2.412603 3.439478 5.052243
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.575116 0.817662 1.159777 1.685259 2.485792 3.682031 5.647744
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.507097 0.739537 1.076894 1.611261 2.453279 3.757709 5.988312
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.475777 0.711605 1.063742 1.638974 2.576732 4.083569 6.767303
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.449552 0.688385 1.054606 1.670423 2.707130 4.431912 7.626003
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.422263 0.660688 1.035311 1.682334 2.804584 4.733340 8.438726
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.397247 0.634201 1.015126 1.689824 2.893626 5.027553 9.273958
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.379068 0.617159 1.008542 1.719091 3.022637 5.405237 10.315739
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.350610 0.581146 0.967927 1.686258 3.038427 5.581249 10.996756
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.337157 0.569692 0.968494 1.727553 3.196857 6.047113 12.340094
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.315163 0.541450 0.936994 1.706108 3.231672 6.272935 13.205067
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.300896 0.525739 0.926446 1.722800 3.342492 6.663600 14.488208
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.282349 0.500808 0.896931 1.699735 3.369805 6.882515 15.411403
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.266989 0.480595 0.874556 1.688534 3.420087 7.155474 16.502069
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.245064 0.446519 0.823318 1.614377 3.328703 7.105875 16.798643
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.237108 0.438493 0.821689 1.642150 3.461400 7.576094 18.472437
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.230077 0.431716 0.821913 1.673665 3.605501 8.089765 20.343334
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.221372 0.421014 0.813433 1.685602 3.706044 8.511801 22.039123
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.212792 0.409959 0.803383 1.693108 3.796869 8.920900 23.768323